Investors will be eyeing major announcements ahead this week such as jobs report, Federal Reserve rate decision, and Apple’s earnings. On Monday, October 30, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (INDEXDJX: .DJI) gained by over 511 points or 1.58%, ending the trading at 32,928.96. This was the biggest single-day gain market by the index, after June 2023. The S&P 500 saw a robust 1.2% surge, reaching 4,166.82, marking its most substantial gain since late August. Simultaneously, the Nasdaq...
Read More »New Essay by Arthur Hayes: Bitcoin Faces Watershed Moment to Keep $1M Price Tag amid 2 Wars
Hayes has always maintained an optimistic outlook on Bitcoin and remains one of the market analysts who believes the best is yet to come for the premier cryptocurrency. He believes we will see a $1 million price tag for the coin in the long term. Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX suggests in a recent blog post titled “The Periphery”, that a $1 million Bitcoin (BTC) price is still attainable, even in the face of inflation and ongoing wars in Israel and Ukraine. Arthur Hayes on...
Read More »Treasury Yields Edge Higher as Economic Uncertainty Prevails
Last week, the release of September’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data showed a monthly increase of 0.4% and an annual increase of 3.7%. Treasury yields in the United States saw a modest increase earlier today, amid the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the country’s economic outlook. Investors continued to grapple with concerns related to monetary policy and geopolitical issues, making it a delicate balancing act for financial markets. Treasury Yield Fluctuations As of 5:35 a.m. Eastern...
Read More »Federal Reserve Officials Maintain Cautious Stance on Interest Rates
Following the September meeting, the 10-year Treasury yield had risen to approximately 4.66% as of October 10, reflecting the expected rate increases that policymakers had indicated earlier. Federal Reserve officials have opted to maintain their cautious approach to monetary policy, leaving interest rates unchanged during their September meeting. Minutes from the September 19-20 meeting revealed a consensus among policymakers that the US economy faced mounting uncertainties. Most meeting...
Read More »September’s Nonfarm Payrolls Exceeds Expectations in New Report
The unexpected strength in the labor market presents a dilemma for the Federal Reserve. Policymakers are grappling with the question of whether to raise interest rates further to cool the economy and combat rising inflation. In a welcome development for the US economy, the Labor Department released its monthly Employment Situation Report, revealing that nonfarm payrolls surged by an impressive 336,000 in September. The standout feature of the September jobs report is that the increase...
Read More »US Weekly Jobless Claims Increased Moderately to 207,000
Market participants have been particularly attentive to any signals that the Federal Reserve may continue to raise interest rates. A recent report from the Labor Department has revealed that initial filings for jobless claims or unemployment benefits for the week ended September 30th reached a seasonally adjusted 207,000. While this statistic represents a 2000 rise over the previous figure, it fell short of the Dow Jones consensus projection of 210,000, indicating that the job market...
Read More »The Three Critical Things to Watch in Bitcoin’s Price in Q4 2023
TL;DR BTC’s year-end price may be affected by macroeconomic factors and regulatory changes, particularly the possible approval of a Bitcoin ETF in the US. Market sentiment, endorsements from influential figures, and technical analysis could also drive short-term BTC rallies. Predictions range from BTC reaching $120,000 to $150,000 in the coming years, with the BTC halving event in 2024 considered a potential catalyst. BTC’s Catalysts at the End of the Year There are various...
Read More »10-Year US Treasury Yield Returns to Its Historical 4.5% Mark
Since 2007, the 10-year Treasury Yield has struggled to reach its long-term average of 4.5%. The 10-year US Treasury yield, a critical indicator of economic health, has reached a significant milestone. For the first time since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008-09, it has risen back to the 4.5% yield. This development has brought optimism to long-term Treasury investors, offering the prospect of positive annual real yields, especially with inflation moderating. A Return to...
Read More »Federal Reserve Releases Working Paper Exploring Asset Tokenization and RWA
The Federal Reserve has released a comprehensive working paper delving into asset tokenization and Risk-Weighted Assets (RWA). As the financial landscape continues to evolve, these innovative financial instruments garner significant attention for their potential to revolutionize investment strategies and reshape traditional markets. The paper explains that tokenization, similar to stablecoins, consists of five core components: a blockchain, a reference asset, a valuation...
Read More »Bank of Japan Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged, Experts Share Concerns
Analysts believe that Bank of Japan would soon face pressure to raise interest rates and reverse from its loose monetary conditions. On Friday, September 22, Japan’s central bank decided to leave its interest rates unchanged amid “extremely high uncertainties”, and continue with its ultra-loose policy. Following its September meeting, the Bank of Japan confirmed its decision to keep short-term interest rates at -0.1%. The central bank also set a target to limit the yield on 10-year...
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