Tag Archives: BTC Analysis

During the recent weeks, the cryptocurrency markets have plunged due to fear at the macro-level (risk off). In this analysis, we will take a closer look at the bitcoin price from the Technical, Onchain, and Options Markt standpoints and discuss the possible scenarios in the short and mid-term. Technical Analysis By: Shayan Long-Term Analysis We can observe how the price organically evolves into a larger corrective structure following the first bullish impulse phase. A few...

In an indecisive spot market, the low liquidity in the order book allows the aggressive traders to take control, leading to unexpected volatility. Currently, the futures market may see more liquidations before any price recovery. Technical Analysis Daily Timeframe The image below shows that bitcoin is in a strong downtrend, and the bears are in charge. However, we’re in a zone that can hold the price for a few days or even weeks. Additionally, the RSI indicator, which helps...

The past hours saw a massive sell-off, causing an unexpected and enormous plunge to sub-$40K in the price of Bitcoin. The onchain data is showing an absolute capitulation phase in the market, which was intensified by long-term holders just before the crashing to $35K. Long Term Analysis: The Daily Chart Yesterday, Bitcoin lost a critical support range at $37K – $40K. As shown in the chart below, before the price decline beneath $40K, both 50-DMA and 100-DMA lines have crossed...

Despite the relatively long consolidation phase in the past few weeks, the options traders, alongside the on-chain metrics, are showing uncertainty. The fear on the macro scale is affecting both the cryptocurrency and stock market. Options Market Analysis This Friday, January 21st, approximately $538 million worth of Bitcoin options contracts will expire on Deribit. The max pain scenario is for the price to be at $43K for this expiry. Calls for the $44K strike price have the...

Bitcoin is currently testing a crucial support area holding the price for the past several weeks. The next days or even hours will likely determine which direction BTC will head to in the short term. While a bullish reversal is probable if the level holds, there is the possibility of a bearish breakdown, leading to another long liquidation cascade below the $40K mark. Technical Analysis Bitcoin’s price has been in a strong downtrend since the $69K top during the first half of...

Following a steady weekend, Bitcoin maintains the $42K range. Considering the options market strike prices and the technical analysis, bitcoin is expected to fluctuate in the $40K – $47K range in the next short term. Onchain data shows that long-time holders recently slowed down their selling pressure, and it seems that BTC is under consolidation. Options Market Analysis Since last month, the bitcoin price has been consolidating in the $40-42K range. Looking at the options...

Similar to the consolidation in May-July 2021, the market is forming a significant supply/demand level in the $40K-$42K range. Aside from the short-term price trend, the mentioned area will be a significant support (or resistance) for long-term price actions. Technical Analysis Many analysts believe the $40K-$42K zone resembles the $30K-$32K range in May-July. Since December 5th, the $40K-$42K zone acted as good support. But, considering the low demand in the spot market,...

Following a bloody start to the new year of 2022, including a dip below $40K, Bitcoin finally sees some green. This analysis will determine if a local bottom was found and some relief to the bulls. Options Market Analysis This coming Friday, January 14th, approximately $690 million worth of bitcoin options contracts will expire on Deribit’s exchange, with a max pain level of $44K, as can be seen below. Currently, the put options open interests are significantly high, which...

For the first time since September, Bitcoin dipped below the $40K mark. From the bullish side, the dip was quickly bought, but on the other hand, Bitcoin is still shaky and still at risk of losing the coveted mark. Options Market Analysis By @N_E_D_A After a large options expiry event at the end of 2021, Max Pain jumped to $55K. These days, the selling pressure of the spot market pushed BTC to plunge and then temporarily lose the $40k as support (as of now). Bitcoin is now...

Amidst another red weekend, Bitcoin is facing its most critical support area in the mid-term. So far, despite 2022’s first day, the new year has recorded seven consecutive daily red candles (keeping in mind there are a few more hours until today’s candle close). Option Market Analysis By @N_E_D_A The sharp spike in omicron cases, US Federal Reserve’s announcement about raising interest rates due to a surge in the inflation rate, along with the events in Kazakhstan – are...