Tag Archives: BTC Analysis

All markets are having a hard time during Monday’s trading session and Bitcoin is no exception. The cryptocurrency is down just shy of 2 percent in the past 24 hours while altcoins are mostly in red. Option Market Analysis The rising cases of the highly transmissible Omicron caused fear in all markets. Investors are worried about lockdowns which may have negative effects on the economy. In the options market, Short-dated implied volatility also increased accordingly to fear....

According to Reuters, the Russian central bank wants to ban investments in cryptocurrencies in the country. Following the bearish news, Bitcoin’s price fell to near $48.5k in the spot market. In the options market the last 48 hours, many options traders sold Calls and bought Puts to hedge for the near-term expiries. Multi expiry skew shows that traders seek downside protection. It seems that they are not optimistic about the rally in 2021: Technical Analysis On a daily...

Long-term Technical Analysis: The Monthly Based on the monthly timeframe, the market is not showing any strength yet. Let’s examine the market structure using the trend lines and indicators shown in the following chart. If we compare the current cycle (2021) with the previous one (2017), the RSI indicator is still on its uptrend with a lower slope (marked by green – dynamic line). During the 2017 bull run, the failure of this line signaled the end of the bull run (the red...

Options Market Analysis Bitcoin price is now sub $49,000, about 27% below the ATH ($69k). Options traders set different hedging strategies during the previous weeks to protect against the market downside. Next Friday, December 17th, about $630 million worth of bitcoin options contracts will expire in Deribit. The max pain scenario for this expiry is if the price is at $50K. Calls at 60k strike price have the highest open interest with 1005 contracts. Options traders have sold...

Choppy price action and indecisiveness – this is how we can summarize the past couple of days on the cryptocurrency market. In our last BTC price analysis, we examined if whether or not $69K was the cycle’s top following the vicious corrections, and now, we take a closer look into how the market is developing from a technical and on-chain perspective. Options Market Analysis This Friday, December 10, about $946 million worth of bitcoin options contracts will expire in...

Options Market Analysis 25 Delta Skew and Volatility Analysis On December 4th, the bitcoin price dropped about $16k. Options traders have set different hedging strategies like buying lots of puts at $50k & $52k strike prices during the last weeks for the possible downside. To find out what happened in the options market, It’s better to look at 25 delta Skew. This is a way of measuring the volatility skew. For example, for one month, it can be computed using the following...

Bitcoin’s price action continues to be shaky in the short term, but that might largely be attributed to headwinds caused by the newfound COVID variant. Despite the recent bearishness, the on-chain metrics and the mid-to-long-term technicals continue to favor extended bull market and show no real signs of worry. This analysis was compiled by analysts GrizzlyBTClover and CryptoVizArt to CryptoPotato. Mid-Term Technical Analysis Bitcoin is moving up inside the uptrend channel on...

Bitcoin’s price over the last few days has been particularly volatile. Just yesterday, BTC surged towards $59K but failed to breach this important resistance level. Subsequently, it dropped towards the significant $56K mark, but bulls were quick to defend it and are pushing towards $59K once again. The Technicals Bitcoin is quickly approaching the key resistance at $59-60K, as of writing this update. A break above it can lead to a renewed rally back to the $60K territory....

After a wild week of volatile price swings, BTC managed to hold the key support at $57.1K, closing the weekly candle at $57.3K. Bulls pushed the price higher, heading into the weekly close, and manage to liquidate a lot of short positions. For the near term, it’s still too early to confirm a bottom as we have to see how stocks trade this week. Chart by TradingViewThe Technicals Long-term technicals remain bullish as BTC continues to make higher highs and higher lows. For the...

Just as Bitcoin started showing early positive developments of recovery, fear of a new variant of COVID-19 sent global stocks sharply lower, causing the crypto market to decline. Although the near-term price action looks bearish, the overall trend in fundamental and on-chain continues to remain strong, suggesting the bull market is likely to continue. Bitcoin has tested a critical uptrend support line around $54K, entering a very crucial technical zone of support. Chart by...