Tag Archives: BTC Analysis

October has so far been a solid month for BTC, currently higher by 40% for the month, after the September shake out. The overall trend in fundamentals and on-chain remain firmly bullish, as long-term holders and miners continue to show no signs of aggressive distribution. The conditions continue to look very similar to BTC’s situation in November 2020, right before a new all-time high was achieved. However, we must remain cautious in the near term as spot inflows have been...

Bitcoin’s price went through a lot in the past few days. Last Wednesday, exactly a week ago, the cryptocurrency painted a fresh all-time high at roughly $67K (on Bitstamp). Now, BTC is trading at around $59K, having dipped to as low as $58K for a 13% decline since its peak. With this, it’s important to examine what caused the correction and if the bullish sentiment remains intact. The below summarizes what happened today, its cause, and what can be expected based on the...

The near-term pullback managed to find support at $59.5K and successfully held $60K on a daily closing basis. The significant rally with elevated open interest, high funding rates, and leverage ratios were all signals of caution. The open interest has been consolidating around $14.3 billion, and the funding rate also cooled down to neutral levels. The leverage ratio remains elevated, and it hit a recent high of .19 which is near the November 2020 peak. Chart by...

Bitcoin’s price finally entered a correction to flush out the leverage, cool off the overbought conditions, and help build a structure after the large rally in the past three weeks. This happened after the open interest, funding rates, and leverage ratio all reached elevated levels. The near-term support at $60K appears to be holding, which is a positive signal. Given the current selling pressure, it’s unlikely that the weekly close will be above $64.8K. Chart by...

Bitcoin managed to complete a daily close above the previous all-time high at $64.8K at $66K. This is an early bullish signal, but it’s not enough to fully confirm the breakout. For this to happen, we need to see multiple daily closes, as well as weekly ones above $64.8K. This would provide confirmation and further validation. In the near term, we can expect to see multiple retests of $64.8K as a support level. Chart by TradingViewNear-Term Caution for the BTC Price Even...

Bitcoin’s price continues to show strength, and it’s trading very close to the all-time highs, with an intraday high at around $64,600 (on Bitstamp) at the time of this writing. The spot volume has been increasing for days, which is a sign of strength. The BTC price action has been impressive on the day the futures-backed BTC ETF started trading. However, it’s important to remain cautious in the near term as the open interest continues to increase – currently sitting at $14.4...

For the first time in history, we saw Bitcoin closing a weekly candle above $60K. This happened on the back of reports that the first futures-backed BTC ETF would be officially listed, pending no further interference by the SEC. It’s also important to note that the open interest, the funding rates, as well as the estimated leverage ratio all went up in the interim. This signals that it’s necessary to be cautious, especially given the possibility for the Bitcoin ETF...

BTC has been showing strength lately, driven by anticipation of the futures-backed ETF and potential launch early next week. It closed at $61.6k with more than double the daily average volume on Coinbase, showing strong spot buying. Possible Correction for BTC? Although near-term price action has been very bullish with a strong breakout above $52.9k in the last 2 weeks, we need to approach the BTC ETF launch with caution. The risk of a near-term pullback is increasing because...

BTC’s recent 46% rally from the lows at $39.6k has been very impressive as prices pushed above $50k, the September high at $52.9k, with higher highs being made. The above further validates the completion of the bear trap down to $39.6k. Bitcoin has been finding initial resistance as anticipated in the $57.1k to $58.3k, a major zone of technical and on-chain resistance. Chart by TradingViewThe $50k to $58.3k zone includes many buyers from earlier this year who acquired Bitcoin...

BTC managed to make a strong weekly close above $52.9k, the highs from September, further validating the bear trap to $39.6k. After holding the higher low at $40.7k, a level we have been watching closely, BTC successfully followed through higher by printing a second weekly candle higher. This validates the previous week’s bullish engulfing candle, adding strength to near-term technical momentum and structure. Although last week’s technical conditions were slightly overbought,...