Tag Archives: BTC Analysis

Since the major drop on Wednesday, the bitcoin price mostly traded around the same range of $64K. Today is the last day of the week; this means that on midnight UTC will see a weekly candle close. This candle close is critical for the next short-term. The bulls need to see BTC makes a weekly close above $64.8k for the first step in breakout confirmation. As shown on the following chart, the bullish Cup and Handle pattern breakout was completed, with a back-test of previous...

Bitcoin’s price went through a near-term pullback that was largely driven by leverage long liquidations. It sent the open interest down $1.5 billion. There are no signs of aggressive distribution from long-term holders (LTHs) aside from very light selling from the 7-to-10-year cohort. Older coins didn’t send through this pullback. The cup and handle pattern looks complete with a backtest of the previous resistance at $64.8K, which is now turned into support. Chart by...

Bitcoin is up 7.6% in the past seven days, but it charted 6% gains in the past 24 hours alone in a very formidable push. However, it’s worth noting that we need to see a daily close above $64.8K, as well as a potential confirmation on the weekly chart to have more confidence in the current rally. Chart by TradingViewThe Technicals Bitcoin is currently pushing above the important resistance level at $64.8K on the intraday, and it’s looking to complete the cup and handle...

In the past few days, we saw Bitcoin’s price nearly touching $60K again and it’s now important to reclaim the 21-ay MA in the near term. Meanwhile, the strong resistance continues to lie between $63.7K and $64.8K. The ideal scenario for BTC bulls would be to complete the cup and handle breakout above $63.7K and $64.8K, which should send the price to the range between $70K and $80K. There are still no signs of a distribution trend forming but we did see some light...

Bitcoin continues to hold the 21-day, 21-day EMA, and $60K levels which is a near-term positive signal. There has been some profit-taking from the 2-to-3-year and 5-year old coins, but there’s no trend of distribution forming just yet. Overall, the trend in fundamentals and based on on-chain metrics remains bullish, but we have to remain cautious as the Fed will be making an update on tapering bond purchases. Chart by TradingViewThe Technicals The near-term technicals are...

October has so far been a solid month for BTC, currently higher by 40% for the month, after the September shake out. The overall trend in fundamentals and on-chain remain firmly bullish, as long-term holders and miners continue to show no signs of aggressive distribution. The conditions continue to look very similar to BTC’s situation in November 2020, right before a new all-time high was achieved. However, we must remain cautious in the near term as spot inflows have been...

Bitcoin’s price went through a lot in the past few days. Last Wednesday, exactly a week ago, the cryptocurrency painted a fresh all-time high at roughly $67K (on Bitstamp). Now, BTC is trading at around $59K, having dipped to as low as $58K for a 13% decline since its peak. With this, it’s important to examine what caused the correction and if the bullish sentiment remains intact. The below summarizes what happened today, its cause, and what can be expected based on the...

The near-term pullback managed to find support at $59.5K and successfully held $60K on a daily closing basis. The significant rally with elevated open interest, high funding rates, and leverage ratios were all signals of caution. The open interest has been consolidating around $14.3 billion, and the funding rate also cooled down to neutral levels. The leverage ratio remains elevated, and it hit a recent high of .19 which is near the November 2020 peak. Chart by...

Bitcoin’s price finally entered a correction to flush out the leverage, cool off the overbought conditions, and help build a structure after the large rally in the past three weeks. This happened after the open interest, funding rates, and leverage ratio all reached elevated levels. The near-term support at $60K appears to be holding, which is a positive signal. Given the current selling pressure, it’s unlikely that the weekly close will be above $64.8K. Chart by...

Bitcoin managed to complete a daily close above the previous all-time high at $64.8K at $66K. This is an early bullish signal, but it’s not enough to fully confirm the breakout. For this to happen, we need to see multiple daily closes, as well as weekly ones above $64.8K. This would provide confirmation and further validation. In the near term, we can expect to see multiple retests of $64.8K as a support level. Chart by TradingViewNear-Term Caution for the BTC Price Even...